UPDATE:  New RPI standings were issued at 9:15pm Saturday night but did not affect our projections below.
Since RPI numbers have been updated following the finish of the 2A girls’ basketball district tournaments, we can now start projecting regional tournament brackets.  The eight district champions earn the right to play at home and will be seeded one through eight based on RPI.  The remaining qualifiers will then be seeded 9-32 with teams slotted from 25-32 possibly moved for travel concerns.
Our projections are based on RPI standings posted at 8:15pm on February 29th.  Official pairings will be announced on Sunday by CHSAA.  Also note that the bracket will be reseeded before state once the eight qualifiers are determined.  At that time, more criteria other than RPI can be used to place teams in the bracket.
The first step in laying out the bracket is determining the order of the eight district champions.

  1. Holyoke
  2. Limon
  3. Meeker
  4. Heritage Christian
  5. Rye
  6. Del Norte
  7. Simla
  8. Ignacio

Now we list the remaining qualifiers from across the various districts.  District 5 sends five teams and District 3 sends three with the remaining brackets qualifying their top four.  We do not list the district champions here but place teams in order of district finish.
Other Qualifiers

  • District 1: Sanford, Center, Sargent
  • District 2: Yuma, Wray, Sedgwick County
  • District 3: Telluride, Mancos
  • District 4: Denver Christian, Byers, Lotus School
  • District 5: Hotchkiss, Soroco, Hayden, West Grand
  • District 6: Rocky Ford, Holly, Swink
  • District 7: Dawson, Gilpin County, Loveland Classical
  • District 8: Colorado Springs School, Peyton, Calhan

 
Remaining Qualifiers

  1. Rocky Ford
  2. Colorado Springs School
  3. Peyton
  4. Dawson
  5. Sanford
  6. Wray
  7. Hotchkiss
  8. Denver Christian
  9. Soroco
  10. Sedgwick County
  11. Calhan
  12. Yuma
  13. Hayden
  14. Swink
  15. Holly
  16. West Grand
  17. Byers
  18. Lotus School
  19. Gilpin County
  20. Sargent
  21. Center
  22. Loveland Classical
  23. Telluride
  24. Mancos

And with the seeds in order from 1 through 32, we can now lay out the bracket.  We leave teams in order based on seed with a quick note on which teams could be moved.
 
REGION ONE

#1 Holyoke
#32 Mancos
#16 Denver Christian
#17 Soroco

REGION TWO

#2 Limon
#31 Telluride
#15 Hotchkiss
#18 Sedgwick County

REGION THREE

#3 Meeker
#30 Loveland Classical
#14 Wray
#19 Calhan

REGION FOUR

#4 Heritage Christian
#29 Center
#13 Sanford
#20 Yuma

REGION FIVE

#5 Rye
#28 Sargent
#12 Dawson
#21 Hayden

REGION SIX

#6 Del Norte
#27 Gilpin County
#11 Peyton
#22 Swink

REGION SEVEN

#7 Simla
#26 Lotus School
#10 Colorado Springs School
#23 Holly

REGION EIGHT

#8 Ignacio
#25 Byers
#9 Rocky Ford
#24 West Grand

 
We do not see a conference conflict in the opening round but we believe the committee would try to find a closer regional for both Telluride and Mancos.  Mancos to Holyoke and Telluride to Limon is probably not in the best travel interest so we would look for some shuffling in the bottom eight clubs (25-32).  There are several possibilities for movement so we won’t try to layout the different scenarios.