The idea here is simple. Score the current state of the 5A Boys rankings as a state meet and see who holds the upper hand. On the lines that follow, I’ve done exactly that. Following the scoring, a brief discussion will follow.

 

5A Boys 100 Meter Dash

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time  Wind    Pts

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1 Hayden Marx              Chatfield               10.80    NWI    10

2 Ben Kirk                 Denver East             10.83    NWI     8

3 Tyson Williams           Loveland                10.89    NWI     7

4 Sam Beckham              Rock Canyon             10.96    NWI     6

5 Lawrence Walker          Fountain-Ft. Carson     10.99    NWI     5

6 Michael Hemingway        Cherokee Trail          11.00    NWI   3.5

6 Ace Malone               Castle View             11.00    NWI   3.5

8 Brandon Hills            Vista Ridge             11.02    NWI     2

9 Dante Capolungo          Dakota Ridge            11.03    NWI     1

10 Dontay Johnson           Fort Collins            11.04    NWI

 

5A Boys 200 Meter Dash

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time  Wind    Pts

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1 Brandon Hills            Vista Ridge             21.66    NWI    10

2 Tyson Williams           Loveland                21.68    NWI     8

3 Ben Kirk                 Denver East             21.84    NWI     7

4 Lawrence Walker          Fountain-Ft. Carson     21.92    NWI     6

5 Peyton Sommers           Cherokee Trail          21.95    NWI     5

6 Ace Malone               Castle View             22.00    NWI     4

7 Carsen Bruns             Rampart                 22.01    NWI     3

8 Donovan Myrick           Poudre                  22.13    NWI     2

9 D’andre Barnes           Regis Jesuit            22.20    NWI     1

10 Luke Dry                 Highlands Ranch         22.22    NWI

 

5A Boys 400 Meter Dash

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time    Pts

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1 Ace Malone               Castle View             48.95     10

2 Luke Dry                 Highlands Ranch         49.03      8

3 Carsen Bruns             Rampart                 49.22      7

4 Tyson Williams           Loveland                49.33      6

5 Jacob Culig              Bear Creek              49.42      5

6 Bryce McCutcheon         Rangeview               49.77      4

7 Julio Atondo             Fort Collins            49.98      3

8 Donovan Myrick           Poudre                  50.06      2

9 Levi Hoenninger          Monarch                 50.11      1

10 Kenneth Carpenter        ThunderRidge            50.12

 

5A Boys 800 Meter Run

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time    Pts

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1 Drew Costelow            Valor Christian       1:54.46     10

2 Camden Law               Chatfield             1:55.07    7.5

2 Timothy Thompson         Rocky Mountain        1:55.07    7.5

4 Tyler Downs              Mountain Vista        1:55.44      6

5 Reuben Holness           Cherokee Trail        1:55.99      5

6 Connor Kennedy           Heritage              1:56.48      4

7 Corbin Hobert            Denver East           1:56.94      3

8 Jacob Culig              Bear Creek            1:57.55      2

9 Ty Garrett               Valor Christian       1:58.05      1

10 Dane Eike                Valor Christian       1:58.60

 

5A Boys 1600 Meter Run

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time    Pts

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1 Drew Costelow            Valor Christian       4:18.60     10

2 Connor Kennedy           Heritage              4:19.30      8

3 Christian Groendyk       Fort Collins          4:19.70      7

4 Ty Garrett               Valor Christian       4:21.10      6

5 Reuben Holness           Cherokee Trail        4:23.50      5

6 Jayden Nats              Mountain Vista        4:24.20      4

7 Gavin Geer               Boulder               4:26.00      3

8 Hunter Strand            Cherokee Trail        4:26.60      2

9 Daniel Hruska            Cherry Creek          4:27.20      1

10 Dalton Kaines            Rocky Mountain        4:27.60

 

5A Boys 3200 Meter Run

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time    Pts

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1 Drew Costelow            Valor Christian       9:18.50     10

2 Christian Groendyk       Fort Collins          9:20.10      8

3 Dalton Kaines            Rocky Mountain        9:23.20      7

4 Hunter Strand            Cherokee Trail        9:28.40      6

5 Tyler Downs              Mountain Vista        9:32.50      5

6 Ty Garrett               Valor Christian       9:32.70      4

7 Dane Eike                Valor Christian       9:33.20      3

8 Gavin Geer               Boulder               9:35.80      2

9 Benjamin Anderson        Mountain Vista        9:38.60      1

10 Connor Kennedy           Heritage              9:41.10

 

5A Boys 110 Meter Hurdles

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time  Wind    Pts

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1 PJ Robinson              Cherry Creek            14.14    NWI    10

2 Carsen Bruns             Rampart                 14.34    NWI     8

3 Malique Singleton        Grandview               14.74    NWI     7

4 Jack Wetterling          Valor Christian         14.93    NWI     6

5 Myles Wilson             Ralston Valley          14.94    NWI     5

6 Gibson Leafgreen         Grandview               15.16    NWI     4

7 Mateo Munoz              Grandview               15.22    NWI     3

8 Josh Dunn                Broomfield              15.71    NWI     2

9 Jaheim Alexander         Rangeview               15.72    NWI     1

10 Jared Ebedes             Regis Jesuit            15.74    NWI

 

5A Boys 300 Meter Hurdles

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Time    Pts

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1 Carsen Bruns             Rampart                 38.98     10

2 Jack Wetterling          Valor Christian         39.72      8

3 Jones Thomas             Poudre                  39.78      7

4 PJ Robinson              Cherry Creek            39.86    5.5

4 Myles Wilson             Ralston Valley          39.86    5.5

6 Malique Singleton        Grandview               39.91      4

7 William Stone            Pine Creek              40.05      3

8 Lavelle Kabeya-Kombo     Legend                  40.62      2

9 Croix Burney             Rock Canyon             40.83      1

10 Josh Dunn                Broomfield              40.94

 

5A Boys 4×100 Meter Relay

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Pl Team                                      Time    Pts

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1 Grandview                                42.25     10

2 Rock Canyon                              42.44      8

3 Cherokee Trail                           42.76      7

4 Dakota Ridge                             42.88      6

5 Regis Jesuit                             43.02      5

6 Fountain-Ft. Carson                      43.03      4

7 Denver East                              43.08      3

8 Vista Ridge                              43.16      2

9 Fort Collins                             43.29      1

10 Doherty                                  43.47

 

5A Boys 4×200 Meter Relay

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Pl Team                                      Time    Pts

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1 Grandview                              1:28.13     10

2 Castle View                            1:29.80      8

3 Fountain-Ft. Carson                    1:29.87      7

4 Rock Canyon                            1:29.91      6

5 Fort Collins                           1:30.05      5

6 Eaglecrest                             1:30.39      4

7 Doherty                                1:30.45      3

8 Dakota Ridge                           1:30.50      2

9 Monarch                                1:30.63      1

10 Poudre                                 1:30.67

 

5A Boys 4×400 Meter Relay

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Pl Team                                      Time    Pts

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1 Cherokee Trail                         3:23.75     10

2 Highlands Ranch                        3:24.73      8

3 Cherry Creek                           3:27.85      7

4 Poudre                                 3:28.07      6

5 Douglas County                         3:28.12      5

6 Castle View                            3:28.14      4

7 Grandview                              3:28.37      3

8 Fort Collins                           3:28.77      2

9 Rangeview                              3:28.80      1

10 Valor Christian                        3:29.16

 

5A Boys 4×800 Meter Relay

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Pl Team                                      Time    Pts

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1 Mountain Vista                         8:02.30     10

2 Cherokee Trail                         8:07.20      8

3 Rocky Mountain                         8:10.20      7

4 Rock Canyon                            8:15.20      6

5 Cherry Creek                           8:16.60      5

6 Fort Collins                           8:16.90      4

7 Pine Creek                             8:19.00      3

8 Poudre                                 8:22.70      2

9 Fairview                               8:26.70      1

10 Horizon                                8:27.20

 

5A Boys High Jump

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                    Mark     Pts

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1 Rhys Travis              Poudre                6-07.00     10

2 Zane Cole                Grandview             6-04.00    7.5

2 Mateo Munoz              Grandview             6-04.00    7.5

4 Kaleb Kimaita            Horizon               6-02.25      6

5 Elijah Anderson          Arvada West           6-02.00      3

5 Michael Hemingway        Cherokee Trail        6-02.00      3

5 Randahl Butler           Rampart               6-02.00      3

5 Joe Cottingham           Fort Collins          6-02.00      3

5 Luke Ford                Regis Jesuit          6-02.00      3

10 Ryan Pollyea             Fossil Ridge          6-01.00

10 Daniel Thomason          Fruita Monument       6-01.00

 

5A Boys Pole Vault

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                    Mark     Pts

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1 Jackson Wray             Legend               15-06.00     10

2 Mateo Munoz              Grandview            15-01.00      8

3 Tyler Rowan              Monarch              13-02.00      7

4 Flynn Meier              Fairview             13-00.00    5.5

4 Zachary Tomkowicz        Legend               13-00.00    5.5

6 Myles Balding            Cherry Creek         12-08.00      4

7 Rylen Lippelt            Grandview            12-07.00    2.5

7 Blake Kinney             Dakota Ridge         12-07.00    2.5

9 Nathan Baller            Chaparral            12-06.00    0.3

9 Ben Ford                 Pomona               12-06.00    0.3

9 Jovo Vrtikapa            Pomona               12-06.00    0.3

 

5A Boys Long Jump

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Mark  Wind    Pts

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1 Brandon Hills            Vista Ridge          24-06.00    NWI    10

2 Nate Gaye                Cherokee Trail       23-01.50    NWI     8

3 Mateo Munoz              Grandview            22-08.00    NWI     7

4 Hunter Hitz              Rocky Mountain       22-05.75    NWI     6

5 Grant Haskins            ThunderRidge         22-01.00    NWI     5

6 Griffin Elshof           Rocky Mountain       22-00.75    NWI     4

7 Ismael Cisse             Cherry Creek         22-00.50    NWI     3

8 NiiAmon Levias           Overland             21-10.00    NWI     2

9 Keyshawn Bridges         Vista Ridge          21-09.50    NWI     1

10 Dontay Johnson           Fort Collins         21-09.25    NWI

 

5A Boys Triple Jump

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Mark  Wind    Pts

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1 Nate Gaye                Cherokee Trail       45-04.75    NWI    10

2 Rhys Travis              Poudre               44-08.00    NWI     8

3 Vesaun Shrestha          Rock Canyon          44-06.00    NWI     7

4 Dylan Traut              Ralston Valley       44-05.00    NWI     6

5 Grant Haskins            ThunderRidge         44-03.50    NWI     5

6 David Wardlaw            Cherry Creek         44-01.50    NWI     4

7 Alexander Osmun          Mountain Vista       43-05.75    NWI   2.5

7 Leland Smith             Rangeview            43-05.75    NWI   2.5

9 Micah Dobson             Rangeview            43-02.50    NWI     1

10 Mateus Gadaleta          Fort Collins         43-01.75    NWI

 

5A Boys Shot Put

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Mark    Pts

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1 Cade Whish               Fort Collins         55-04.50     10

2 Kevin Bruxvoort          Rocky Mountain       54-06.00      8

3 Charles Lafore           Chatfield            52-07.25      7

4 Taylor Nichols           Douglas County       52-05.50      6

5 Moosah Alsaffar          Grandview            50-05.50      5

6 Edward Bowman            Pine Creek           50-02.00      4

7 Mac Busteed              Fossil Ridge         48-07.75      3

8 Leo Ramos                Far Northeast        48-00.50      2

9 Blaine Fisher            Denver East          47-07.00      1

10 Brandon Simpson          Arvada West          47-02.00

 

5A Boys Discus Throw

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Pl Name                  Yr Team                     Mark    Pts

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1 Blaine Fisher            Denver East            170-05     10

2 Kevin Bruxvoort          Rocky Mountain         169-02      8

3 Austin Appiah            Rangeview              164-06      7

4 Charles Lafore           Chatfield              151-02      6

5 Gavin Whetzal            Pine Creek             150-08      5

6 Jacob Kilmer             Rangeview              149-11      4

7 Taylor Nichols           Douglas County         148-10      3

8 Kaiden Major             Rocky Mountain         148-06      2

9 Edward Bowman            Pine Creek             145-03      1

10 Tyler Derouchey          Rocky Mountain         145-00

 

5A Boys Team Scores

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Team

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1 Grandview                  78.5

2 Cherokee Trail             72.5

3 Valor Christian             58

4 Rocky Mountain             49.5

5 Fort Collins                43

6 Cherry Creek               39.5

7 Poudre                      37

8 Rock Canyon                 34

9 Denver East                 32

10 Rampart                     31

 

What we see in 5A currently is a very tight race at the top between cross-district rivals Grandview and Cherokee Trail. Not much of a surprise there, but teams are known track and field powerhouse programs. We’ll add that the current difference between Grandview at CT is well within the margin of error of an analysis like this.

At this point, probably only Valor Christian is within striking distance. Valor currently doesn’t have a 4×800 in the rankings, suggesting that none of their distance big three will be running the 4×800 at state, assuming the Eagles qualify that relay for state.

Both Grandview and Cherokee Trail are very strong in the relays, but without a large sprint presence. This suggests both of these teams are likely to be able to lock and load their relays for state without worrying about which individual athlete(s) might have to be left off at the state meet.

Consequently, none of the big three figures to have to deal much with issues of slippage from rankings. Some slippage is likely to occur, of course, but probably not because of offloading talent from the relays in favor of individual events.

And, there’s still enough season left for other teams to mount a charge and make a move on the big three. We just don’t see any such moves reflected in the current rankings.