Projecting the regional volleyball tournament pairings is a three-step process for Colorado Preps.  Step one is to determine playoff qualifiers and follow criteria, we use league standings and RPI numbers to make those choices.  Then step two is putting together consensus rankings to seed the teams in the bracket and then the final step to is review the bracket and make changes necessary to avoid conference pairings, head to head results and some travel concerns.  Once that’s all done, we develop our regional tournament projections.

For the projections below, we true seeded based on consensus rankings and then provide some potential changes to the brackets.  We tried to catch all the head-to-head results in each bracket but could have missed some here and there.  Head-to-head results only come into play if teams are next to each other on the seed line.

 

CLASS 1A
REGION 1 #1 Briggsdale #16 Kit Carson #24 Sangre De Cristo
REGION 2 #2 Fleming #15 McClave #23 Rocky Mountain Lutheran
REGION 3 #3 Merino #14 Genoa Hugo #22 Cheyenne Wells
REGION 4 #4 Haxtun #13 Simla #21 Elbert
REGION 5 #5 Wiley #12 Weldon Valley #20 North Park
REGION 6 #6 Stratton #11 Dove Creek #19 La Veta
REGION 7 #7 Cheraw #10 Belleview Christian #18 Otis
REGION 8 #8 Idalia #9 Flatirons Academy #17 Springfield

NOTES:  Could see changes in seeds 18 through 21 to alleviate some travel.  North Park to Wiley is a major trip so the Wildcats could exchange places with Elbert.  Then Otis and La Veta could also flip-flop as trips for both clubs would then be shorter.  Maybe a bigger question is how to handle Dove Creek.  The Bulldogs could be bumped to 10th or 12th in the bracket as a trip to Wiley or Cheraw is much shorter than the bus ride to Stratton.  Probably exchange with Weldon Valley as the Warriors drive to Stratton pairs up nicely.  Simla would likely move ahead of Weldon Valley as well since the Cubs won the head-to-head contest.  Same with Kit Carson and McClave in spots 15 and 16.

 

CLASS 2A
REGION 1 #1 Sedgwick County #24 Olathe #36 Custer County
REGION 2 #2 Meeker #23 Lyons #35 John Mall
REGION 3 #3 Fowler #22 Sanford #34 Rocky Ford
REGION 4 #4 Dayspring Christian #21 Plateau Valley #33 Rangely
REGION 5 #5 Wiggins #20 Yuma #32 Monte Vista
REGION 6 #6 Holyoke #19 Vail Christian #31 Heritage Christian
REGION 7 #7 Soroco #18 Akron #30 Las Animas
REGION 8 #8 Denver Christian #17 Ignacio #29 Colorado Springs School
REGION 9 #9 Byers #16 Calhan #28 Dolores
REGION 10 #10 West Grand #15 Sargent #27 Addenbrooke Academy
REGION 11 #11 Rye #14 Union Colony Prep #26 Telluride
REGION 12 #12 Limon #13 Hoehne #25 Crowley County

NOTES:  Rocky Ford and Rangely could be swapped to avoid conference pairings for each team but that creates major travel for the Panthers.  So the committee could get Monte Vista involved in a three-team trade and put them #34 with Rocky Ford to #33.  That leaves Rangely going to Wiggins in Region 5.  We could also see Crowley County and Olathe flip-flop for travel and to keep the Chargers away from league rival Hoehne.

 

CLASS 3A
REGION 1 #1 Resurrection Christian #24 North Fork #36 DSST-Byers
REGION 2 #2 Lamar #23 Pagosa Springs #35 Bennett
REGION 3 #3 Lutheran #22 Kent Denver #34 Jefferson Academy
REGION 4 #4 University #21 St Marys #33 St Mary’s Academy
REGION 5 #5 Liberty Common #20 Academy #32 James Irwin
REGION 6 #6 Eaton #19 Colorado Academy #31 Colorado Springs Christian
REGION 7 #7 DSST-Montview #18 Delta #30 La Junta
REGION 8 #8 Faith Christian #17 Montezuma Cortez #29 Peak to Peak
REGION 9 #9 Valley #16 Prospect Ridge #28 Aspen
REGION 10 #10 Sterling #15 Centauri #27 Strasburg
REGION 11 #11 Platte Valley #14 Manitou Springs #26 Vanguard
REGION 12 #12 Alamosa #13 Bayfield #25 Lake County

NOTES:  In these pairings, we would be curious to see how the committee might handle Alamosa and Bayfield being next to each other in the seed line.  Since they’re touching on the seed line, head to head results could come into play.  They split two conference matchups but Bayfield is the league champion and Alamosa ended up third.  Either way, one will be moved off their seed to avoid conference pairings.  Another head to head factor could come into play between Eaton and Liberty Common with the Reds moving up since they beat the Eagles in conference play.  Valley, Sterling and Platte Valley is also interesting.  Sterling beat Valley but lost to Platte Valley and as a result those teams would likely stay in place.  Elsewhere, Vanguard and Strasburg could be swapped to eliminate conference matchups in the same regional and Peak to Peak and La Junta could exchange for the same reason.  Region 3 would likely be broken up as well since all three teams are from the Metro conference.

 

CLASS 4A
REGION 1 #1 Palmer Ridge #24 Mullen #36 Weld Central
REGION 2 #2 Cheyenne Mountain #23 Roosevelt #35 Northfield
REGION 3 #3 Thompson Valley #22 Durango #34 Grand Junction Central
REGION 4 #4 Windsor #21 Woodland Park #33 Glenwood Springs
REGION 5 #5 Frederick #20 D’Evelyn #32 Evergreen
REGION 6 #6 Erie #19 Eagle Valley #31 Elizabeth
REGION 7 #7 Niwot #18 Holy Family #30 Canon City
REGION 8 #8 Montrose #17 Pueblo County #29 Longmont
REGION 9 #9 Classical Academy #16 Lewis Palmer #28 Steamboat Springs
REGION 10 #10 Palisade #15 Thomas Jefferson #27 Denver North
REGION 11 #11 Discovery Canyon #14 Berthoud #26 Riverdale Ridge
REGION 12 #12 Falcon #13 Mead #25 Green Mountain

NOTES:  The committee might move Grand Junction Central out of the #34 spot since they’re in the same conference with Durango.  The Warriors could move up or down one spot without an issue.  Riverdale Ridge and Denver North could also exchange their places to alleviate conference pairings with Berthoud and Thomas Jefferson.  Head to head, Erie could move ahead of Frederick since the Tigers beat the Warriors very early in the season.  And Cheyenne Mountain also has a win over Palmer Ridge so the Red-Tailed Hawks could be moved ahead of the Bears and into the top overall position.

 

CLASS 5A
REGION 1 #1 Cherry Creek #24 Rock Canyon #36 Vista Peak
REGION 2 #2 Chaparral #23 Legacy #35 Doherty
REGION 3 #3 Grandview #22 Heritage #34 Westminster
REGION 4 #4 Mountain Vista #21 Denver East #33 Fountain Fort Carson
REGION 5 #5 Valor Christian #20 Fossil Ridge #32 Columbine
REGION 6 #6 Broomfield #19 Cherokee Trail #31 Rocky Mountain
REGION 7 #7 Ralston Valley #18 Eaglecrest #30 Monarch
REGION 8 #8 Highlands Ranch #17 Liberty #29 Arapahoe
REGION 9 #9 Rampart #16 Fruita Monument #28 Castle View
REGION 10 #10 Pueblo West #15 Regis #27 Chatfield
REGION 11 #11 Pine Creek #14 Denver South #26 Douglas County
REGION 12 #12 Brighton #13 Legend #25 Fort Collins

NOTES:  Pine Creek beat Pueblo West early in the season so the Eagles would likely jump to the 10th seed and the Cyclones dropping to 11th.  That would not change the bracket that much at all.  Rocky Mountain and Columbine would probably be exchanged to prevent league pairings against Broomfield and Valor Christian respectively.  The rest of the bracket seems in good shape.